Eagles vs Cowboys :The Dallas Cowboys travel to Lincoln Financial Field to take on their bitter rivals the Philadelphia Eagles in a Sunday night showdown. The Cowboys have proven they can handle the hostile Eagles’ crowd going 5-1 ATS in their last six trips to Philly, but will that trend continue? We break down the best ways to wager this pivotal NFC East battle.
Even with Ezekiel Elliott, the Cowboys are going to have a tough time running the football against a stout Philadelphia rush defense that currently ranks second in the NFL in yards allowed. The Eagles meanwhile, have had issues on offense this season, both through the air and on the ground. The Jay Ajayi injury is show its affects and Carson Wentz is still finding his feet. He’ll be in tough against a Cowboys secondary that has been excellent.
Additionally, the Eagles faithful will do their best to keep the Cowboys offense quiet in the early going while giving plenty of support for their own group to put points up on the board early. But in an important divisional show down look for points and field position to be at a premium as the first tally of the contest will come from the foot of either Jake Elliott or Brett Maher.
Both teams rank near the bottom of the NFL in terms of their longest pass play, meaning neither team has a knack for the home run type of plays. The Cowboys generate offensive success on the ground with Elliott while the Eagles eat up chunks of yards at a time over the middle of the field and string together long drives. While the addition of Golden Tate makes the Eagles’ passing game more dynamic, they’re still going to struggle against a Cowboys secondary that will force Philly into beating them on the ground with the likes of Corey Clement and Wendell Smallwood. This all adds up to a lower scoring opening half and leaves us with a juicy prop on the board. Take Over 2.5 field goals in the first half.
The Eagles offense has fallen off a bit from a season ago and part of that downgrade has been the ongoing recovery of Carson Wentz. Philly has also dealt with the loss of Ajayi and was without Alshon Jeffery for the first part of the season, so things are still coming together for them on offense. As such, they’re averaging just 22.3 points per game – 21st in the NFL. The team total for Philly is a touch too high here as oddsmakers are accounting for a boost in a prime-time home spot, but this is a bitter rivalry and if Dallas has one game circled on their calendar this season it is this one. Look for the Cowboys secondary and Elliott to do enough to keep the Eagles offense on the sidelines and keep Philly Under its team total.
If the Eagles offense has struggled this season than the Cowboys have been a complete disaster. They are producing far less than their division rivals, averaging an anemic 19.3 points per game. Additionally, Dallas has not been good on the road this season and have yet to find the win column away from home, but they have been able to play the Eagles close over the last handful of meetings and this one figures to be tight as well. The Under is 4-1 in their last five meetings in Philadelphia and is 7-3 in their last 10 matchups overall. The Under has also hit in Philly’s last four home games and in seven of Dallas’ last eight against NFC opponents. This number isn’t high, especially for a Sunday nighter, but these teams fall just short of it.
The Eagles made a big move to bolster their offense when they acquired Tate from the Detroit Lions at the trade deadline, giving Wentz a formidable tandem of weapons in him and Jeffery. However, the Eagles haven’t quite looked the part of a defending Super Bowl champion at just 4-4 on the season. Meanwhile, the Cowboys aren’t looking much better but are getting no love here as the line continues to move in favor of Philly. Plus, the Eagles are an underwhelming 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games against a team with a losing road record while the Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five against NFC East division rivals. They’ve also shown they can handle the hostile Philly crowd, going 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings in Philadelphia. Look for those trends to continue as Dallas keeps this one close.